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Real Madrid – Atletico Madrid

With the title almost certainly heading to Barcelona, this Madrid derby is far from the most significant these sides have played in recent years. However with local pride still at stake as well as 2nd place in La Liga, both sides will be keen to secure victory and it promises to be another good contest.

There was a danger we could see wholesale changes on both sides for this game but with both clubs comfortable winners in the 1st Legs of their European Quarter-Finals last week, the temptation to rest players will not be as great now. Real Madrid are all but into the last four of the Champions League following a Ronaldo masterclass in Turin while Atleti are looking strong having beaten Sporting 2-0 at home in the Europa League.

Therefore we should see most of the stars on display here although Zidane in particular has tended to rotate his team so some changes are likely for Los Blancos. They don’t have a good record in this fixture having only avoided defeat in one of their last four home league derbies and the head-to-head certainly offers hope to Atleti.

As does the fact that Real Madrid have been a bit sloppy at times at home in the league this term. Their average of 2.13 points per home game is poor by their standards as is a tally of three defeats at the Bernabeu in La Liga. They’ve conceded in 67% of their home games and Atleti aren’t the sort of side you can simply leak goals against and expect to just go down the other end and score.

Diego Simeone’s men have had another strong season with the exception of a disappointing Champions League campaign. They’ve only suffered 3 defeats in La Liga compared to Real Madrid’s 5 and they’ve a very solid 60% win ratio away from home. They again boast the division’s tightest defence with only 0.47 goals per game conceded and they’ve conceded a huge 19 fewer goals than their city rivals.

At the other end, Real have been superior but the gulf in attacking quality has narrowed since the arrival of Diego Costa in the red and white half of the Spanish capital. He’s helped bring the best out of Antoine Griezmann and the Frenchman will be keen to perform well in what is likely to be his last Madrid derby. He’s hit 11 goals in his last 8 appearances for the club and backing Griezmann to score anytime is surely worth considering here and he does have a good record at the Bernabeu.

Overall, it should be a good game and Atleti’s excellent league record at the Bernabeu in recent seasons suggests they are more than capable of getting a good result. They’ve also won 13 of their last 15 matches in all competitions so their form is good and backing Atletico Madrid Double Chance appeals here.

Head To Head

Atleti have taken 10 points from their last 4 league games at the Bernabeu. However they’ve only won 1 of the last 6 meetings overall.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Stats

  • This will be the 219th derby between both sides in all competitions (excluding regional championships). Real Madrid have won 50% of their competitive games against Atletico (109 of 218).
  • Real Madrid’s failure to win any of their last four home derbies against Atleti is their worst run without a home win against them in La Liga history.
  • No La Liga team has directed more shots on target than Real Madrid this season (228); Meanwhile only Barcelona (94) have conceded fewer shots on target than Atletico (96)  in La Liga this term.
  • Antoine Griezmann has scored five goals against Real Madrid in La Liga, with three of them coming at Santiago Bernabeu (two for Atletico). The Frenchman could be the first Atletico player to score in three consecutive league games at Santiago Bernabeu this century.
  • With Diego Simeone in charge, Atletico have won four of their 12 league derbies against Real Madrid (D4 L4). Before his arrival, Atletico had only won two of their previous 36 games against Real Madrid in the top-flight (D10 L24).

Real Madrid Team News

Raphael Varane is carrying a knock but is likely to start at centre-back with Nacho also injured. There could be some rotation with the likes of Gareth Bale, Marco Asensio and Lucas Vazquez hoping for starts.

Atletico Madrid Team News

Antoine Griezmann and Vitolo are both back from bans but the latter is likely to be on the bench. Juanfran could get a start at right-back with Sime Vrsaljko carrying a knock.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Predictions

Atletico Madrid Double Chance

Correct Score Prediction

Draw 1-1

Anytime Goal scorer Prediction

Antoine Griezmann To Score Anytime
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