Eintracht Frankfurt find themselves teetering on the edge of the top six ahead of this weekend, one place and three points above visitors Hoffenheim. A home win could go a long way towards their return to the European stage next season, but head coach Niko Kovac, who this week ruled himself out of the soon-to-be-vacant post at Bayern Munich, will be deprived of a few key players. With a few absentees to work around, the recently recovered Mexican international Marco Fabian, who played 60 minutes last weekend in the 2-1 defeat at Werder Bremen, should be back into the running to start.
Julian Nagelsmann’s side extended their unbeaten league run to five matches (W3 D2) with a pulsating 6-0 win at home to second-bottom Cologne last weekend, but Hoffenheim will need to keep focused ahead of this huge trip in order to keep their hopes of a second consecutive European campaign alive. Fortunately for coach Nagelsmann, attackers Serge Gnabry and Mark Uth will be full of confidence coming into this, having netted a brace each last weekend. Given the otherwise exceptional team performance, expect no changes from the Hoffenheim boss on Sunday.
So how will this one pan out? Over recent years, TSG Hoffenheim have recorded a good string of results against “The Eagles” (see head-to-head), but this Eintracht team under coach Kovac have proven exceptionally tough to break down on their own turf since the turn of the new year. Frankfurt are unbeaten in their last eight competitive home outings, over which they’ve recorded wins against teams as strong as RB Leipzig (4th) and Borussia Monchengladbach (9th), while also taking an impressive 2-2 draw against the in-form Schalke 04 (2nd). Similarly, Hoffenheim’s best performances have come at home, not on the road – in fact, Nagelsmann’s men have won just one of their last nine Bundesliga away matches (W1 D3 L5) – so Frankfurt have their best opportunity in years to make amends on their poor record against the visitors.
And what about the score come the full time whistle? Well, even though Eintracht Frankfurt have kept clean sheets in four of their last six home outings (67%), it’s not scoring goals where Hoffenheim struggle on the road – TSG simply can’t keep goals out, conceding a massive 11 goals over their last five away days. With Eintracht Frankfurt clocking a very consistent 2 goal per game average at the Commerzbank Arena since their unbeaten run began, backing a tight home win with goals at both ends looks about right for this one. Our prediction: a 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt win.
Head To Head
Hoffenheim drew 1-1 at home to Frankfurt when the two sides met in November. Hoffenheim have lost just one of the last nine matches against Frankfurt (W5 D3 L1).
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim Stats
- Eintracht Frankfurt have earned 45 points in 28 matches – their best ever-tally since the introduction of the three-point rule.
- Eintracht have collected more points at home than any other side in 2018 (W5 D1), winning each of their last five at the Commerzbank Arena.
- Eintracht’s Luka Jovic is the youngest player to have netted 7+ goals this term, having scored in three straight games.
- Only Bayern (35) have scored more goals in 2018 than Hoffenheim (25).