Strasbourg can take a huge step towards safety in Ligue 1 should they beat lowly Metz on Sunday. The hosts have been in very poor form recently and have not won in their past six matches, but a game with home advantage against the worst team in the division presents an ideal opportunity for the side to get some much-needed points on the board.
Strasbourg currently sit only three points above the drop zone with eight matches left to play. The concern is that they have the third worst defence in the division, despite a healthy goals for column. Luckily for Strasbourg they have managed to share their goals about, with the likes of Nuno da Costa and Stephane Bahoken all getting in on the act throughout the campaign. At this stage, Strasbourg should secure safety and another season in the top-half following their promotion in 2016/17, but there is no certainty. They will need to win matches such as this one.
For Metz however the picture looks much more bleak. They are a huge nine points adrift of 17th with only eight matches left, and despite rallying for a short period earlier this year, they have been rooted to the foot of the division for almost all of the season. They have only scored 27 goals and conceded a massive 56 and with plenty of players out injured, a point will probably be the best they can hope for from this one.
We see this game ending in a home win so our advice is to back Strasbourg on the full-time result market, while for an alternative bet, we advise backing a Strasbourg win and under 3.5 goals.
For our correct score prediction meanwhile, we think the game will end 2-0 to the hosts as they put another nail in the coffin of their opponent’s survival hopes.
Head To Head
In 15 previous meetings, Strasbourg have won four, Metz have won eight and three have been drawn.
Strasbourg vs Metz Stats
- Strasbourg have won three of their last six encounters with Metz in Ligue 1 (D1 L2), as many as in their previous 28 (D9 L16).
- Metz are winless in their last seven Ligue 1 games (D3 L4), after winning four of the previous six (D1 L1). This is the longest current drought with Lille.
- Metz have only won three of their last 27 away Ligue 1 games (D5 L19).
- Metz have only won two of their last 11 trips to a newly promoted team in Ligue 1 (D5 L4).
- Stéphane Bahoken has scored two of the last three goals scored by Strasbourg in Ligue 1. With five goals, he is Strasbourg’s joint-top scorer in Ligue 1 2017/18 with Jean-Eudes Aholou.
- Nolan Roux has been directly involved in seven of Metz’s last 12 goals in Ligue 1 (six goals, one assist). Only Cristhian Stuani (nine) has scored more headed goals than Roux (seven) in the Top 5 European leagues.