Mainz head into this match in the relegation play-off spot, and though behind Wolfsburg on goal difference alone prior to the weekend, Sandro Schwarz’s men can simply not afford to come away from this empty-handed. A catastrophic run of just one win and five points collected over their last eight Bundesliga outings (W1 D2 L5) means that boss Sandro Schwarz’s record has fallen to become one of the worst coaches in the club’s history. If things weren’t bad enough, the international break has ruled out influential defender Abdou Diallo, who suffered a broken nose while on duty with France’s U21s.
“Eleven points clear of the bottom three” is not how a team like Borussia Monchengladbach should be evaluated, but Dieter Hecking’s side have seen their hopes of European football next season evaporate through an awful streak of form since the turn of 2018. Gladbach have found the going tough in the new year, picking up just eight points in ten matches (W2 D2 L6), as many as hosts Mainz, which could be blamed on their consistently lengthy injury list (see team news). One positive taken away from their 3-3 draw to Hoffenheim at least is that forward Lars Stindl ended his run of 14 league outings without a goal.
So how does this one look in terms of betting? Well, though Borussia Monchengladbach have a few injury concerns, they remain a cracking price to take away the win from the Opel Arena on Sunday, and here’s why: first and foremost, Mainz’s 25 points so far this term is their worst-ever tally after 27 matches, and the 05ers have shown almost no signs of improvement under boss Sandro Schwarz. As is often the case with out-of-sorts sides, Mainz have also struggled against better teams. In fact, the 05ers have won just two of the 15 meetings with top half sides this term – the highest placed team beaten being 5th placed Leverkusen all the way back in September. Meanwhile, though Gladbach’s form doesn’t look too stellar on paper, they did clock a win on their away trip against Hannover 96, while also holding a good head-to-head record against the 05ers on their own turf.
With the hosts struggling to get results at home – Mainz have lost four of their last six at the Opel Arena (W1 D1 L4) – expecting Hecking’s Gladbach to take three points on Sunday isn’t too far fetched. However, Gladbach have kept clean sheets in just 15% of their away days this season, so goals at both ends wouldn’t be surprising either, especially given the trend of this fixture in recent years – both teams have scored in six or the last eight meetings between them. Gladbach’s goals per game is on the up – in fact, Gladbach have scored an average of just under 2 goals per game over their last four league outings – so expecting them to come out strong against a side as weak of Mainz looks a solid call. Our prediction: a 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach win.
Head To Head
Borussia Monchengladbach drew 1-1 at home to Mainz 05 when the two sides met in November. Gladbach have won three of the last four meetings against them.
Mainz vs Borussia Monchengladbach Stats
- Mainz have won just one of their last eight league games (W1 D2 L5).
- Sandro Schwarz’s Mainz have won just one of their last six at home too (W1 D1 L4).
- Mainz are winless in 10 games on a Sunday (D3 L7).