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Home > MATCH PREDICTIONS > Granada – Numancia

Granada – Numancia

Having looked a shoo-in for the top six not so long ago, Granada, who’ve lost each of their last three, are now far less certain to grace the play-offs with their presence. José Luis Oltra’s men remain inside the top six at present, though another loss could see them slip out. In contrast, Numancia are currently outside of the top six, but a win here would likely see them surpass their opponents and move into the play-off spots.

Having beaten Tenerife last time out, Numancia, who were without a win in three prior to that timely victory, should come into this fixture full of confidence. They face a Granada side who’re very much out of form.

The hosts haven’t been in great form of late, though their results don’t exactly tell the full story. Granada remain a strong side, especially in the final third. In front of their own fans, Granada have been hard to face this season, so they shouldn’t be written off ahead of this contest. Before their somewhat unexpected loss against Gimnastic in their most recent match at Los Cármenes, Granada had won seven home matches on the spin. Such a record is not to be taken lightly, especially since Oltra’s side beat some of the divisions’ best during that time.

Having got the better of the likes of Huesca, Zaragoza, Gijon and Tenerife on home soil of late, Granada, despite their poor form, will also fancy their chances ahead of this match. The hosts will know that Numancia have struggled on the road this season, especially from a defensive point of view. Keeping this in mind, the hosts can be expected to get forward.

Scoring goals has been part and parcel of the game for Granada, who’ve scored at least twice in 11 of their 15 home matches, on their own patch this season. Only three teams in the entire division have found the net more times than Granada at home, while only four teams have failed to score less times in front of a home crowd. The fact that Oltra’s men have scored multiple goals against many of the top teams at home this season is also very positive, especially since Numancia have been known to concede more than once on their travels.

Although Numancia are a good side, one that can mix it with the league’s best at times, they have struggled to put their best foot forward on their travels. Jagoba Arrasate’s side have conceded plenty of goals on the road this season, as they’ve managed to keep a clean sheet in just three of their 16 away matches. What’s more, the visitors have been breached at least twice in nine of their 16 fixtures away from the comforts of home.

In terms of quality, if both are at their best, there may not be too much between the pair, though the fact that the visitors are weak defensively away from home is hard to get away from. Consider this in conjunction with the fact that Granada have saved most of the best attacking work for when playing in front of their own fans and, at the prices, it’s easy to back ‘Granada to Score Over 1.5 Goals’.

Head To Head

The two sides have only previously met on three occasions, two of which have seen Granada come out on top. When the teams met earlier in the campaign, Granada won by three goals to one.

Granada vs Numancia Stats

  • Granada have scored at least twice in 73% of their home matches in the league this season.
  • Numancia have conceded at least twice in 56% of their away matches in the league this season.
  • Numancia have kept a clean sheet in just 19% of their travelling league matches this season.

Granada Team News

Javier Espinosa and Adrian Roams are both likely to remain sidelined for the hosts, while Darwin Machis and Victor Diaz are both suspended.

Numancia Team News

Luis Valcarce is expected to remain out for the visiting side, while veteran striker Manu del Moral is also out.

Granada vs Numancia Predictions

Granada Over 1.5 Team Goals

Correct Score Prediction

Granada 2-1
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