Werder Bremen took another sizable step towards safety after coming from two goals down to draw 2-2 with Borussia Monchengladbach last weekend. Werder have a comfortable cushion above the automatic relegation zone prior to the weekend’s action, but with the relegation play-off spot not far behind them, the North Germans are not out of danger just yet. Coach Florian Kohlfeldt is unlikely to mess with the formula too much ahead of this crucial match, but USA international Aron Johannsson could be preferred to Ishak Belfodil in attack, following his equalizer off the bench last weekend.
It all started so well for Cologne against Stuttgart last time out, with veteran forward Claudio Pizarro (also former-Bremen) opening the scoring early on. Three points from that match would have lifted Stefan Ruthenbeck’s side off the bottom and to within five points of 16th-placed Mainz, but three individual errors gifted Stuttgart the eventual 3-2 victory. Milos Jojic is an option in midfield after grabbing a late consolation off the bench at the RheinEnergieStadion, but forward Guirassy looks unlikely to play again this season after undergoing ankle surgery in the week.
So how does this one look in terms of betting? Well, as teams down at the lower end of the table, it should come as no surprise that Werder Bremen and Cologne are the joint 2nd lowest scoring teams in the league (24 goals each). Bremen’s matches at home this season follow that trend, with no more than two goals having been scored in 58% of outings there. And with under 2.5 goals scored in all but one of the last nine competitive meetings between them (88%), this doesn’t look set up to be the most exciting of fixtures.
Bremen have been a tough side to beat on their own turf under coach Florian Kohlfeldt, but three of their last five outings there have ended in a draw, so there is some opportunity for Cologne. Werder have averaged one goal scored and one goal conceded at the Weserstadion so far this season, which lines up well with Cologne’s recent records. The Billy Goats’ scoring form has been much better in 2018 – in fact, under coach Stefan Ruthenbeck’s watch, the Billy Goats have averaged around four times as many goals (1.6 per game) as they did under Peter Stöger (0.4 per game) – but they are still struggling at the back – Cologne haven’t kept a clean sheet since January. Our prediction: a 1-1 draw.
Head To Head
Cologne drew 0-0 at home to Bremen when the two sides met last October. Six of the last eight league meetings between them have ended in a draw.
Werder Bremen vs Cologne Stats
- 58% of Bremen’s home matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Bremen have not lost any of their eight competitive matches at home under Florian Kohfeldt (W5 D3).
- Bremen’s Max Kruse has scored against 16 of the Bundesliga’s current 18 clubs – only Cologne and RB Leipzig are missing!