Marseille’s form hadn’t been anything to write home about for a few weeks, but they regained the winning thread on Thursday night when beating Athletic Bilbao 3-1 in front of a home crowd in the Europa League last-16. That victory has put Rudi García’s men in a strong position ahead of the second-leg, though they need to consider their league form before heading to Spain next week. In Ligue 1, Marseille are without a win in two. Such form isn’t the end of the world, but they’ll want to resume winning ways just to ensure that they don’t become entangled in a battle for third with Lyon, who’re currently five points behind Marseille.
A battle for third would be like Christmas come early for Toulouse, who are currently fighting against relegation. The season hasn’t exactly gone to plan for Mickaël Debève’s side, and, as they’re currently sat just a single point above the relegation play-off place and just two points off the automatic drop, they’re in danger of becoming a Ligue 2 team for the first time since 2003.
On paper, this does appear to be a good opportunity for Marseille to strengthen their position inside the top three; however, they may just have one eye on Thursday’s trip to Spain. In truth, the Europa League is Marseille’s only realistic hope of guaranteeing themselves Champions League football next season, as they’re unlikely to catch Monaco, who’re currently seven points in front of Marseille in second.
Not only are Marseille likely to be preoccupied with Thursday’s match in Bilbao, but Toulouse, who’ve now lost just one of their last six, come into this match having improved their performances of late. On home soil, Debève’s have not been overly easy to beat for some time. It’s true that they’ve had their problems going forward – only three teams in Ligue 1 have scored less goals than Toulouse this season – but they’ve started to make themselves much harder to get the better of, especially at home.
The fixture list hasn’t exactly been too kind of late as far as Toulouse are concerned. In recent home matches, the hosts have had to face Monaco, PSG, Nantes, Nice, Lyon and Bordeaux, so the fact that they’ve only lost two of their last seven at Stadium de Toulouse is quite impressive. In beating Bordeaux and Nice (and drawing with Nantes), the hosts have proved that they can compete with the better teams. What’s more, they turned in a much-improved attacking performance against Monaco last time out, as they made particularly good use of the break. Against another attack-minded team in Marseille, Toulouse could once again profit from such tactics.
Considering that the hosts have done far better on their own patch of late, alongside the fact that Marseille come here having played on Thursday night and will likely have one eye on their return leg in Spain next week, it’s easy to think that the hosts are a tad overpriced. Backing Toulouse on the ‘Double Chance’ market represents a slice of value.
Head To Head
In recent times, both teams have struggled to get the better of each of other, as four of the last five renewals have ended all-square. However, Marseille did break that habit when winning 2-0 earlier in the season.
Toulouse vs Marseille Stats
Toulouse have won only one of their last 20 Ligue 1 games against Marseille (D13 L6), coming back in March 2012 (1-0).
Toulouse are winless in their last 10 home games against Marseille in Ligue 1 (D7 L3). Their last win came in February 2007 (3-0).
Toulouse have won only three of their last 18 Ligue 1 games (D6 L9), after winning the previous two. Téfécé have drawn three games in a row in the top-flight, but haven’t drawn four times in a row since April-May 2009 (also 4).
Toulouse have won only two of their last nine home games in Ligue 1 (D4 L3), after winning three of the previous four (L1).
Marseille are winless in their last two Ligue 1 games (D1 L1), their longest run without a victory in the top-flight since October (D2).
Marseille have lost two of their last five away games in the top-flight (W2 D1), as many as in their previous 16 (W7 D7).
Andy Delort has been involved in two of Toulouse’s last three goals in Ligue 1 (1 goal, 1 assist). He failed to score in his last three games against Marseille in the top-flight.
Lucas Ocampos was involved in Marseille’s two goals scored in the last encounter between the two teams in Ligue 1, won by Marseille 2-0 (1 goal, 1 assist).
Florian Thauvin has been involved in seven of Marseille’s last nine goals in Ligue 1 (6 goals, 1 assist). He finally scored in his last game against Toulouse in the top-flight (in September 2017) after failing to do so in the first nine.
Florian Thauvin has been involved in 26 goals in Ligue 1 this season (16 goals, 10 assists), at least four more than any other French player in the big five European leagues (Fekir & Griezmann, 22).