Stoke find themselves in a very dangerous position as we head into the final nine games of the Premier League season, but recent signs suggest that a resurgence could be in the pipeline for the struggling Potters.
Last time out they played out a dour goalless draw at Southampton, and whilst that does extend their winless run to five games the fact that they have only lost one of their last six Premier League games is surely a step in the right direction. Especially after they lost seven of their previous nine competitive games before that.
Still, being difficult to beat hasn’t been enough just yet. Stoke remain in the bottom three of the Premier League, sitting 19th in the table with a one point deficit on safety. They have games against Manchester City, Arsenal, Spurs, and Liverpool before the season is out too, so things could get worse for them.
Manchester City suffered their first home defeat since December 2016 in midweek as a heavily rotated team were beaten 2-1 against Basel in the Champions League. This wasn’t enough to overturn the 4-0 first leg score, but it’s bound to affect their confidence at least a little bit.
The Citizens remain in a commanding position at the top of the Premier League, holding a huge 16 point advantage over Manchester United in 2nd place and knowing they are on the brink of sealing the title. However, their form since the turn of the year hasn’t been quite up to the standards of the first half of the season.
This is especially true away from home, where they have failed to win three of their four league games this season. They played out draws against Crystal Palace and Burnley either side of their first league defeat of the season at Anfield. Prior to that there were signs of them slowing down too, so Stoke fans expecting a pasting here could be pleasantly surprised.
Manchester City have only won three of their 14 Premier League away days this season by more than a two goal margin, and with Stoke only losing by two or more goals in three of their 14 home games we think the value in a Stoke +2 Asian Handicap looks the best option. In the end Manchester City should have enough to get the three points though, so we’re also backing a 2-1 win for the visitors.
Head To Head
Manchester City have won four, drawn one, and lost two of their last seven meetings with Stoke.
Stoke City vs Manchester City Stats
- Stoke have kept a clean sheet in three of their last seven Premier League games against Man City, but have conceded 19 goals across the other four games in that time, including seven in the reverse fixture in October.
- Manchester City haven’t done the league double over Stoke since 1998-99, when they were in the third tier together.
- Indeed, the Citizens have only won two of their nine Premier League trips to the Bet365 Stadium (D5 L2), though these have come in their last three visits there and both by a 4-1 scoreline.
- Stoke have lost by more than a single goal margin in just 21% of their home Premier League games this season.
- Manchester City have only won by three or more in 21% of their trips away in the league this season.