Last weekend’s 1-0 win away to Hannover 96 brought much needed relief to a Gladbach side that had felt defeat in all four matches prior – in fact, Christoph Kramer’s winner ended a team run of 431 minutes without a goal. Dieter Hecking’s men now sit just four points adrift of the top six in the battle for European qualification, but are still without a whole host of first-team players, including veteran forward Raffael, USA winger Fabian Johnson and left-back Oscar Wendt. Midfielder Vincenzo Grifo could start in an effort to give captain Lars Stindl – without a goal in his last 15 matches – a change of service.
Bremen picked up a priceless win in their North German derby against rivals Hamburg last weekend, not only for local pride, but in their battle to avoid relegation. USA international Johannsson stepped off the bench to force the late winner in the 1-0 win which lifted Werder a comfortable six points clear of the automatic drop zone and two ahead of the relegation play-off spot and Mainz. His contribution to that goal could be enough to edge him into the starting line-up at Borussia-Park this weekend, with Bremen also needing to mix things up after six defeats from eight (W2 L6) on the road under coach Florian Kohfeld.
So how does this one look in terms of betting? Well, both Borussia Monchengladbach and Werder Bremen are low scoring teams relative to their position in the table – Gladbach are the lowest scoring team in the top half, and Werder the joint 3rd lowest in the bottom half – so this doesn’t look set up to be the most exciting of fixtures. While Gladbach have, in general, performed much better at Borussia Park than on the road, it’s hard to see them pulling out too dominant a performance, given their long list of injuries and recent goal drought. The stats also back up the low scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals having been scored in 67% of both Gladbach’s home and Werder’s away matches.
Gladbach have dominated meetings against Werder in recent years (see head-to-head) and with Bremen once again struggling to perform on the road, you do have to fancy the hosts to walk away with the points here. Thorgan Hazard (pictured) is a player who has frequently proved influential in matches against Werder – he’s scored three goals over the last three meetings against the North Germans (one brace and one single) – and as Gladbach’s top scorer and penalty taker, he should be worth a punt as an anytime goalscorer bet on Friday.
Head To Head
Borussia Monchengladbach won 2-0 in Bremen when the two sides last met in October. Gladbach have won all of the last four meetings between them.
Borussia Monchengladbach vs Werder Bremen Stats
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 67% of both Gladbach’s home matches and Bremen’s away matches.
- Thorgan Hazard has scored 3 goals over his last three outings against Werder.
- Bremen have lost six of their eight away games under Florian Kohfeldt.