This game comes on the back of a fantastic Atletico Madrid performance in Seville. Their 5-2 win at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan was their best attacking showing of the season and it really lay down a marker for their crunch clash at Camp Nou next weekend. Victory for Atleti there would ensure we have a genuine title race but Diego Simeone’s men can’t afford any slip-ups here.
They take on a Leganes side in what was a South Madrid derby until Atleti’s move to the other side of the Spanish capital last summer. Leganes have had an excellent season overall with a cup Semi-Final and fine start to the campaign in La Liga. However there have been some worrying signs in recent weeks which suggests their bubble has burst to some extent.
They come into this match without a win in 7 games in all competitions. 4 of the last 5 have ended in defeat, with the exception being a 0-0 home draw against relegation threatened Las Palmas last time out. None of that suggests they are going to cause an upset here against an in-form Atletico Madrid side.
Simeone’s men have won 7 straight matches in all competitions heading into this one. Defensively they’ve been as solid as ever with a 64% clean sheet ratio in La Liga this term, while at the other end Antoine Griezmann really seems to be coming into form. The Frenchman was at his very best, netting a hat-trick in Seville at the weekend and has 8 goals in his last 8 appearances, so backing Griezmann to score anytime could be well worth a punt here.
However we probably shouldn’t expect a cricket score. Leganes won’t be anywhere near as open as Sevilla were and the Madrid minnows do boast La Liga’s 5th best defensive record, with only 1.12 goals per game conceded this term. Only 40% of their league games have seen over 2.5 goals scored while only 28% of Atleti matches have done likewise.
Games at the Wanda Metropolitano have been particularly low-scoring. Not one league match at Atleti’s new home has produced more than 3.5 goals so there looks to be great value here in backing Atletico Madrid & Under 3.5 Goals.
In terms of the scoreline, going for a solid 2-0 Atleti Win looks good and Simeone may start to turn his attention to the weekend trip to Barcelona if his side work up a two goal advantage against low-scoring opponents.
Head To Head
The 3 meetings since Leganes won promotion to the top flight for the first time ever have produced just 2 goals, both scored by Atleti at the Vicente Calderon last season.
Atletico Madrid vs Leganes Stats
- Leganes average just 0.84 goals per game this term, the 3rd worst record in La Liga.
- Atleti home league games have produced just 1.75 goals per game on average.