While it has been a problematic season in some respects for Leicester with an early managerial change and the saga over Riyad Mahrez’s potential move to Manchester City, the reality is that they are pretty well placed heading into the business end of the campaign. They have an FA Cup Quarter-Final tie to look forward to and still have a decent shot at qualifying for Europe via the league.
Stoke fans would give anything to be in that position but they will be rightfully pretty concerned heading into this game. The Potters are now four games into Paul Lambert’s reign and while five points from four games under the former Villa boss is no disaster, they could really have done with a few more. All of those matches were against sides from mid-table down, three of them at home and with Stoke second bottom, heading into a tougher run of fixtures, they are starting to look in big trouble.
It’s hard to look past the hosts here. Leicester are in good form at home with only 1 defeat in their last 10 matches at the King Power Stadium, discounting a shootout defeat in the League Cup. They’ve won four of their last five home games to nil so they’ve been pretty solid at the back of late and going forward, they’ve certainly been able to rely on Jamie Vardy.
He’s putting in a timely run of form with goals in all of Leicester’s last 3 home games and in all of his last 4 appearances overall. We saw during the Foxes’ title winning campaign that he is the sort of player that can put real hot streaks together in front of goal and he seems to be on one right now so backing Vardy to score anytime is surely worth a punt here.
Stoke’s dreadful away record is another reason to fancy Leicester. They’ve taken just 0.46 points per game on their travels this term with only one away win all season in the league. That equates to the worst overall away record in the division and with the Foxes going nicely at home, it’s hard to see them improving on it here.
The head-to-head is also strongly in Leicester’s favour in recent times with Stoke struggling on recent visits to the King Power. Overall backing a Home Win certainly looks like the smart bet here and it would leave Stoke with 10 games left to save their Premier League lives.
Head To Head
Leicester are unbeaten in five games against Stoke. They’ve won the last 2 meetings in the East Midlands to nil.
Leicester City vs Stoke City Stats
- Leicester average 1.62 points per game at home.
- Stoke have managed just 0.46 per game away.