Sporting managed to reply in midweek in order to secure a 3-1 win against Astana in the Europa League, which has put them in the driving seat ahead of Thursday’s home leg. However, before that clash they have to see off Tondela on Monday night, as they look to avoid Europa League football next season. Sporting currently sit third in the league, outside of the Primeira Liga Champions League spots. With just a couple of points between them and top spot, the Lions will be expecting three points from this trip.
However, the visitors have been poor on the road of late, following defeats at Estoril and Porto. They’ve failed to win their last three on the road, and their title challenge might not survive a fourth trip without a win. They’ll need to see off mid-table Tondela this week, who have won just three of their 11 home matches this term. Making that four against a Sporting side who have only lost once all season does seem like a difficult prospect.
Sporting are likely to be tired following their midweek win in Kazakhstan, which could open the door slightly for Tondela. The hosts do seem to concede too many goals to pull off a shock, having conceded an average of two per game at their own ground. They’ve conceded in 91% of their outings at home, and we expect high flying Sporting to add to that poor defensive record on Monday.
However, the home side do have a good scoring record at the Joao Cardoso, finding the net in 10 consecutive games. The hosts have seen both teams score in nine of those 10, and they are likely to concede to a strong Sporting attack which has scored in 90% of away trips this term. However, will Tondela manage to score one of their own to cause the Lions problems? Only Porto – who possess the best defence in the league – have avoided conceding here.
Both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings between these two sides, and we expect a repeat in this encounter. On top of that, BTTS has landed in 60% of Sporting’s away trips, and 82% of Tondela’s home matches. We expect more goals when these teams meet this week, especially if the favourites are jaded by their European commitments. We’re backing BTTS in this clash, along with a high scoring victory for the Lions.
Head To Head
Sporting have won in their previous two trips to Tondela.
Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon Stats
- Tondela have lost by a single goal in 67% of their home defeats.
- Sporting have lost just once in the league all season, winning 15 of their 22 matches.
- Five of Tondela’s last six home matches have seen over 2.5 goals scored.